Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 2955.140435 3177.085271 3399.490020 3638.755760 3888.563218 4141.373497 4416.248724
2025-11-23 2557.886913 2890.027358 3233.043564 3612.563182 4019.529124 4441.704917 4911.633351
2025-11-30 2355.977172 2760.478448 3187.407437 3669.157271 4195.263842 4750.118579 5377.270003
2025-12-07 2173.643769 2629.495754 3119.787325 3682.362151 4306.150304 4972.973759 5736.042469
2025-12-14 2005.456670 2499.086933 3039.296524 3668.562723 4375.770130 5140.741628 6025.482974
2025-12-21 1829.130983 2347.255756 2923.980167 3605.593542 4381.477059 5230.037364 6221.136010
2025-12-28 1782.826603 2340.088436 2968.457464 3719.237666 4581.978128 5533.180213 6652.097836
2026-01-04 1706.015801 2291.719258 2960.911187 3769.251609 4706.897924 5748.921461 6983.206191
2026-01-11 1612.322588 2217.918629 2919.169288 3775.577918 4778.282583 5901.332794 7240.622575
2026-01-18 1525.450193 2147.761965 2877.798200 3778.778457 4843.022207 6043.755745 7484.734310
2026-01-25 1452.753827 2091.262239 2849.570582 3794.676567 4920.192474 6198.607771 7741.631548
2026-02-01 1369.947744 2018.313808 2798.219748 3780.070982 4959.068202 6307.301398 7943.940211
2026-02-08 1311.773053 1975.109484 2782.560640 3808.538788 5049.849573 6478.026470 8220.645634
2026-02-15 1231.143065 1899.827079 2724.698103 3783.599749 5075.377608 6571.509640 8407.212310
2026-02-22 1195.465049 1881.115450 2735.834322 3841.837290 5199.707945 6780.398740 8728.070767
2026-03-01 1141.878616 1836.344174 2712.171408 3855.438952 5268.825437 6923.193067 8970.926498
2026-03-08 1079.391472 1776.978813 2667.720319 3841.226461 5302.548457 7022.792710 9162.071695
2026-03-15 999.127061 1690.069763 2584.979208 3776.365446 5272.074003 7044.004778 9259.030584
2026-03-22 999.185362 1713.725248 2645.898145 3893.415384 5465.947063 7334.744032 9676.836702
2026-03-29 972.863402 1699.265669 2655.906546 3944.916277 5578.267858 7527.189142 9977.706553
2026-04-05 930.195211 1659.964410 2631.708213 3951.430164 5633.777529 7650.437828 10195.591869
2026-04-12 888.580292 1620.471529 2605.899438 3954.725558 5684.389102 7767.157673 10405.313958
2026-04-19 854.017645 1589.799953 2590.851195 3971.094408 5750.768353 7902.680855 10637.504609